What to expect when Canelo and GGG step into the ring a third time

5:13 PM ETDan RafaelCloseESPN Senior Writer2013 BWAA Nat Fleischer Award winner for excellence in boxing journalism ESPN.com boxing writer since 2005 Five years at USA TodaySteve KimIt was a hard deal to get done, but Canelo Alvarez has agreed to square off against middleweight titlist Gennadiy Golovkin for the third time. The fight is scheduled…

What to expect when Canelo and GGG step into the ring a third time

5:13 PM ETDan RafaelCloseESPN Senior Writer2013 BWAA Nat Fleischer Award winner for excellence in boxing journalism
ESPN.com boxing writer since 2005
Five years at USA TodaySteve KimIt was a hard deal to get done, but Canelo Alvarez has agreed to square off against middleweight titlist Gennadiy Golovkin for the third time. The fight is scheduled to take place in September, although it will depend on how many fights will be delayed in the months to come due to the coronavirus pandemic and logistical challenges.Alvarez (53-1-2, 36 KOs) is 1-0-1 against Golovkin (40-1-1, 35 KOs) in two huge fights that ended in controversial decisions. So now that they have agreed to a third bout, what can we expect? Dan Rafael and Steve Kim have some answers.How will Canelo-GGG III play out?Rafael: Like almost everyone, I thought Golovkin deserved a close decision win in the first fight in September 2017 but got a raw deal in a split draw in which judge Adalaide Byrd preposterously scored the fight 118-110 in Alvarez’s favor. Though Alvarez earned a close majority decision in the rematch in September 2018, most of us at ringside actually had it a legitimate draw. So Golovkin can make an argument that he is, at worst, 1-0-1 against Alvarez. But time waits for nobody in boxing, and while Alvarez appears to be still at the top of his game at age 29, having decisively defeated Rocky Fielding by one-sided knockout at super middleweight, Daniel Jacobs by a clear, but close decision at middleweight and Sergey Kovalev by devastating 11th-round knockout at light heavyweight, Golovkin has shown his age.Golovkin is 37 now and since the fights with Alvarez, GGG knocked out Steve Rolls (at 164 pounds) in four rounds but took a surprising amount of shots in a very violent slugfest with Sergiy Derevyanchenko to win a vacant middleweight belt. Many thought Derevyanchenko deserved the decision, and even if you thought GGG did, there is no arguing that he struggled a lot in that fight. He has also had a calf injury since. The point is, GGG is still a quality fighter, but he is very clearly on a downward slope. At his age, with how he has looked in recent fights, I would expect Alvarez to finally defeat GGG, and do so convincingly.Kim: Since they last fought in 2018, it looks as though Canelo is the ascending fighter who keeps adding more facets to his skill set. He has evolved to a point that many beli
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